Most commentators analyse the past. By using online qualitative polling we try to analyse the future.
In our blog Currumbin2Cook in our second post three days after the election announcement we said: "the result will be closer to status quo than many think," and "[g]reens and Independents have the potential to be the protest vote phenomenon of this election".
Apart from missing the fact that One Nation would have a vote almost as large as the Greens, those comments, three weeks before election day summed up the eventual result.
To read more of our analysis visit Currumbin2Cook, and to view the evidence go to our Focus Group Analysis page.
David Fraser Pendulum
While the electoral commission attempts to create all seats equal in size, not all seats are equal in importance. The electoral pendulum ranks seats in order of security. Did you know that before the election the most marginal government seat was Noosa and that whoever holds government will probably also hold Springwood? To view the pendulum click here.